Let me start with three honest, competent, and smart experts—true experts. Dr. Peter Attia, a physician who specializes in the study of longevity, wrote on April 20, “The good news is that [COVID-19] doesn’t look nearly as catastrophic as it seemed in mid-March. . . . The numbers of new cases and new deaths seem to be plateauing and even declining. I suspect American fatalities from COVID-19 will be more in line with a very bad, perhaps the worst, season of influenza (the last decade saw flu deaths in the U.S. range from 12,000 to 61,000…).”
Dr. John Ioannidis, a Professor at Stanford University School of Medicine, is a brilliant, scrupulous researcher who has found that “… COVID-19 is far less deadly than modelers were assuming… the U.S. fatality rate could be as low as 0.025% to 0.625% and put the upper bound at 0.05% to 1% – comparable to that of the seasonal flu.”
And, “If that is the true rate, locking down the world with potentially tremendous social and financial consequences may be totally irrational. It’s like an elephant being attacked by a house cat. Frustrated and trying to avoid the cat, the elephant accidentally jumps off a cliff and dies.” Dr. Ioannidis describes the coronavirus pandemic as “the perfect storm of that quest for very urgent, spectacular, exciting, apocalyptic results. And, as you see, apparently our earliest estimates have been tremendously exaggerated on many fronts.”
Among those estimates was a study by modelers at Imperial College London, which predicted more than 2.2 million coronavirus deaths in the U.S. absent “any control measures or spontaneous changes in individual behavior.” Ioannidis has found himself pilloried because he’s looked at the data and found good news. The media dislikes him because they have “generated a very heavily panic-driven, horror-driven, death-reality-show type of situation.” He states that “there’s some sort of mob mentality here operating, and that they just insist that this has to be the end of the world, and it has to be that the sky is falling.” He believes that “the lockdowns could result in: far, far, far more… young people who commit suicide.” And that if we continue with the lockdown, “we will see many young people committing suicide… just because we’re spreading horror stories with COVID-19.”
Dr. Sandeep Jauhar, a cardiologist at Stanford, wrote on April 17: “Judging from prior epidemics, we may see a precipitous rise in non-Coronavirus deaths in the coming months. Many will be health-related; others, such as suicides or opioid overdoses, will occur because of the economic and psychological disruption.”
WSJ columnist Holman W. Jenkins, Jr., says that the lockdown is a bigger problem than the virus. He writes: “Columbia University once found that [only] 20% of flu sufferers and [only] 5% of cold sufferers bothered to see a doctor. With the virus scare and hysteria, cold and flu sufferers would rightly suspect that they have the virus and would flood into emergency centers and overwhelm them.”
He wonders if we may be “avoiding a disease that may not be greatly more deadly for the average person than the flu…” He also despises the media for “confusing ‘infection fatality rate’ with ‘case fatality rate’, grotesquely misleading the public on the true death rate.”
I believe there is now considerable evidence that the number of deaths has been greatly exaggerated. It’s almost as if some people are rooting for the number of deaths to increase, which will then make them right and justify the draconian, incredibly damaging, and disastrous lockdown. Many deaths are being attributed to the virus solely on the basis of symptoms (and cold, flu, and pneumonia can have symptoms almost indistinguishable from those of COVID-19). In some cases, the cause of death is not objectively determined but based on opinion or presumption. This is astounding.
A cold for you or for me is just a cold. For someone who is frail or asthmatic, it can be a deadly threat. Flu is dangerous and deadly (some strains are 10 times more deadly than COVID-19). For someone who has heart disease, or for someone with cancer on chemotherapy, both of these common diseases are potentially deadly. So, when someone has asthma and they catch a cold or flu and die, they died because of both—one or the other alone almost certainly would not have been fatal.
If somebody has severe heart disease, and they get a cold, or flu, or COVID-19, and they succumb, did they die of cold, flu, COVID-19, or heart disease? The same question should be asked about cancer patients.
To ignorantly or negligently claim that COVID-19 is the cause of death is very bad. To deliberately falsify that information is criminal. Gaming the numbers of deaths to make the situation look worse and to continue the hysteria for political purposes is unconscionable. Yesterday I learned that physicians in California had been pressured to state on death certificates that the cause was COVID-19.
This, along with the political and moral posturing that commands us to protect health and lives while at the same time committing economic suicide, is beyond the pale—and sick.
If it weren’t for New York City (not the entire state), the total number of deaths in the U.S. from this virus would likely be about as lethal as the average annual influenza. Gerard Baker, editor at the Wall Street Journal, pointed out that “New York alone… makes this pandemic… a pandemic.”
There’s something wrong with the numbers in New York City. Perhaps they, too, are gaming the numbers or else unintentionally conflating colds, flu, and pneumonia with COVID-19. It’s true that, in New York, the population density is high. There is poverty, and many rely on mass transit systems. However, when you compare New York with other densely populated cities such as London, San Francisco, and Los Angeles, it doesn’t make sense. What’s going on?
When this is all over, some politicians will loudly proclaim what a wonderful job they have done and that they have saved the health of the people and prevented tens of thousands of deaths. I hope that people recover their peace of mind and sense, and become sufficiently informed of the truth so as to not let them get away with it.
A grievous wrong has been done to every man, woman, and child in this country. Incalculable amounts of wealth have been lost, many will be unemployed for years, small businesses have been ruined, people will despair and some will become homeless. There will be an increase in suicides. The devastation is incalculable.
It’s hard to think of any good news at this point. However, I will simply say that America and Americans have great strength, that this, too, shall pass, and we will flourish and prosper again.